One-line thesis: Own the world's dominant online salvage auction marketplace — a two-sided physical-plus-digital network with owned-land moats and a structural total-loss-frequency tailwind — and wait for the cyclical insurance pullback to fully reverse.
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §1 · 10K 2025.pdf [1] [2]| Metric | Q3 FY2026 | Q3 FY2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $1.237B | $1.212B | +2.1% |
| Service revenue | $1.056B | $1.035B | +2.1% |
| Global gross profit | $572.6M | $552.3M | +3.7% |
| Global gross margin | 46.3% | 45.6% | +71 bps |
| Operating income | $464.3M | $451.5M | +2.8% |
| Net income | $402.4M | $406.6M | -1.0% |
| Diluted EPS | $0.43 | $0.42 | +2.4% |
| Seller mix (FY2025) | % of seller volume | Geography | % of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance companies | ~81–83% | United States | ~77% |
| Dealers, fleet/rental, finance, charities | ~17–19% | International (Germany + UK lead) | ~23% |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §2 · cprt-04-30-26-earnings-release.pdf [1] [3]CPRT-DOSSIER.md §5 & §7 · Q3 2026.md [1] [4]CPRT-DOSSIER.md §1 & §5 [1]CPRT-DOSSIER.md §1 & §5 [1]| Moat type | Strength | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Network effects | Strong | ~1M buyers in 185+ countries. Pure-sale share “an order of magnitude higher” than competitors (Liaw, Q3 FY2026). ASPs at records despite unit softness — deepest auction liquidity in the category. |
| Physical assets / land | Strong | 250+ owned lots, irreplaceable zoning. 20/20/20 program (2016) executed; capacity now ahead of demand. Land acquisition takes years — new entrants cannot fast-follow. |
| Switching costs | Strong | Title Express integration with insurer systems. Carrier cycle times cut by up to 10 days. Switching forces operational disruption and re-integration. |
| Scale / process | Strong | Title Express processes 5–8x volume of next competitor. Two-decade online-only head start. AI tools (total-loss decision platform) deployed to carriers 2+ years. |
| Intangible assets | Medium | Brand recognition among global salvage buyers; not consumer-facing. Proprietary VB3 auction platform. |
| Regulatory | Mixed | International title/registration friction (Germany in particular) is a regulatory headwind for international expansion, not a domestic moat. |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §1 & §5 · Q1-Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript [1] [5]Selected from the 26-item framework. Items shown are the strongest supporting points and the most material concerns for Copart specifically.
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §5 & §6 · Meta analysis from poorcharlie.io.txt (framework) [1] [8]CPRT-DOSSIER.md §3 · 10K 2025.pdf (Item 10, Item 12 reference, signatures, SBC note) · Q1-Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript [1] [2] [5]| Year / Period | Target / Initiative | Strategic role | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20/20/20 land program | Multi-year owned-lot expansion | Capacity now ahead of demand |
| ~2019 | Purple Wave (heavy equipment) | Adjacent online auction vertical | GTV +25% LTM at Q3 FY2026; team 2.5–3x acquisition size |
| Ongoing | International expansion (Germany, UK, India, Bahrain, Oman, UAE) | Geographic diversification + buyer-network deepening | International OM 31.5% in Q3; revenue +14.1% |
| Multi-year | BluCar | Fleet / rental / corporate seller channel | Growing 4%+ in Q3; expanding non-insurance volume |
| ~2024 | Copart Delivered (long-haul logistics) | Buyer-friction reduction + margin add | Rapid adoption; margin contributor |
| 2024–present | Title Express investment | Switching-cost moat extension | 5–8x competitor volume; cycle-time cut up to 10 days |
| FY2026 YTD | $1.63B share buyback (43.4M shares) | Capital return; conviction signal | Largest repurchase program in modern Copart history |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §3 & §5 [1]| Promise | When | Outcome | Consistent? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unit softness cyclical; long-term algorithm intact | Q1 FY2026 (Nov 2025) | Q3 FY2026: insurance units -2.7% (improving from -9% in Q2); moderation in carrier trends observed | Yes — tracking |
| ASPs will reflect marketplace depth, not volume | Q1 FY2026 | Q2: US insurance ASPs +9% ex-CAT; Q3: +4.1%, all-time seasonal record | Over-delivered |
| FCF will grow even with revenue headwinds | Q1 FY2026 | FCF +58% YTD at H1; +12% YTD at Q3 (lower rate as capex normalised) | Delivered |
| Buybacks signal conviction | Q2 FY2026 (Feb 2026) | $500M in H1 → $1.63B by Q3 (43.4M shares, ~4.5% of float) | Significantly exceeded |
| International inflecting toward profitability | Q1/Q2 FY2026 | International OM = 31.5% in Q3 (+270 bps YoY); revenue +14.1% | Delivered |
| AI being deployed to enhance returns for insurers | Q2 FY2026 | Insurance Advisory Board meeting cited AI tools; total-loss decision tool running 2+ years | Consistent |
| Purple Wave expanding territory | Every period | GTV +25% LTM at Q3; team 2.5–3x acquisition size; expanding to coasts | Delivered |
| Consumer insurance pullback is cyclical | Multiple calls 2025–2026 | 1-in-6 policyholders pulling back per surveys; carriers seeing healthier income statements | Thesis intact; not yet visible in unit volumes |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §4 · Q1-Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript [1] [5]| Metric | 1Y | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF Growth (Per Share) % | 38.40% | 13.10% | 26.80% | 23.30% |
| Revenue Growth (Per Share) % | 2.40% | 9.40% | 15.40% | 16.40% |
| EPS without NRI Growth % | 7.40% | 12.60% | 16% | 21.30% |
Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txt (GuruFocus export) [9]| Metric | Current | 5Y Growth Rate | 5Y Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin % | 45.34% | -1.10% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 36.49% | -1.40% | 38.42% |
| FCF Margin % | 30.54% | N/A | 22.70% |
Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txt [9]| Metric | Current | 5Y Median |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC % | 28.61% | 30.30% |
| ROCE % | 18% | 26.75% |
| ROE % | 17.05% | 23.32% |
| Cash Conversion Ratio | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| Period | ROIIC % |
|---|---|
| 1-Year | 43% |
| 3-Year | 22.13% |
| 5-Year | 31.74% |
Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txt [9]| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.01 |
| Cash-to-Debt | 53.07 |
| Interest Coverage | N/A (no debt) |
| Current Ratio | 10.06 |
Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txt [9]| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| 1-Year Dividend Growth Rate (Per Share) % | N/A |
| 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate (Per Share) % | N/A |
| Dividends per Share (TTM) | $0 |
| 1-Year Share Buyback Ratio | N/A |
| 3-Year Share Buyback Ratio | -0.50 |
| 5-Year Share Buyback Ratio | -0.50 |
| Goodwill-to-Asset % | 0.05 |
| Stock Based Compensation (mm) | $37.82M |
| Free Cash Flow (mm) | $1,408.85M |
Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txt [9]| Multiple | Current | 10yr median | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| P / FCF | 22.7x | 50.6x | Cheapest CPRT has been on P/FCF in years |
| EV / FCF | 18.6x | — | Net cash strips ~$4B from EV |
| EV / EBIT | 15.6x | — | Low for a 26% ROIC business |
| P / E (no NRI) | 20.5x | — | Deeply compressed vs history |
| FCF Yield | 4.64% | — | Inverse of P/FCF; rises further on EV basis |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §8 [1]Two-stage model, 10% discount rate, 10-year growth stage + terminal. Analysis price ~$32.87 (March 2026).
| Stage | Growth rate | Terminal | Implied fair value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market implied | ~14–15% | 3% | ~$32.87 |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §8 [1]| Scenario | Stage 1 (10yr) | Terminal | Fair value | vs $32.87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear (3yr CAGR sustained) | 13% | 3% | ~$28 | -15% |
| Market implied | 14–15% | 3% | ~$32.87 | — |
| Base (5yr trend, discounted) | 20% | 3% | ~$45.61 | +39% |
| Bull (match 10yr CAGR) | 23% | 3% | ~$55.76 | +70% |
CPRT-DOSSIER.md §8 [1]CPRT-DOSSIER.md §6 [1]Company information/Copart/CPRT-DOSSIER.mdLiving research-report source file, last updated 2026-05-25. Primary reference for all qualitative and quantitative content unless otherwise noted.Company information/Copart/10K 2025.pdfFY2025 annual report (10-K) — primary source for business model, seller mix, lot count, segment structure.Company information/Copart/cprt-04-30-26-earnings-release.pdfQ3 FY2026 earnings release, quarter ended April 30, 2026 — primary source for the headline numbers in Part 1.2.Company information/Copart/Q3 2026.mdInternal Q3 FY2026 earnings analysis — primary source for KPIs and operational colour.Company information/Copart/Q1-Q2 2026 · Earnings Call Transcript.pdfManagement commentary from Liaw and Stearns on cyclical pullback, ASPs, FCF, AI deployment, international, buyback rationale.Company information/Copart/Q2 2026 10Q.pdf and Q1 2026 10Q.pdfRaw interim filings for balance sheet snapshots and 9M YTD figures.Company information/Copart/CPRT-earnings-analysis-FY2025-H1FY2026.mdInternal earnings analysis covering FY2025 results and the first half of FY2026.Stock portfolio/Meta analysis from poorcharlie.io.txtScoring framework and additional-moat checklist; used for the structure of Part 2.4 only, not for Copart-specific content.Stock portfolio/Portfolio snapshot 30.05.2026.txtGuruFocus portfolio snapshot exported 2026-05-30; primary source for Part 4 ratios.This is one of three free sample reports.
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